Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Stock Has Cured Its Cryptocurrency Curse

¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Stock Has Cured Its Cryptocurrency Curse

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The bottom is in, and it’s finally time for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:¶¶Òõ×îаæ) to head higher on reasonable expectations.  For most of 2017, ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock was driven by lofty expectations for cryptocurrency mining demand. That bubble has finally popped for the semiconductor sector, and investors can now focus on ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s core product line, and value the shares accordingly.

The normalization of ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock’s sentiment backdrop started yesterday. Analysts at to “neutral” from “underperform” and lifted their price target to $11 from $10 on the growth potential for its server business.

This is not really a new development for Advanced Micro, as the company has signed several server-side deals to supply Epyc chips, including a cloud deal with Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) and a server deal with Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (NYSE:HPE).

Outside of ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s server business, the company also scored a win with Apple Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) iMac and it is working with

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) to provide a new laptop chip to power gaming notebooks.

In short, ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock is poised to grow solidly through 2018, with or without cryptocurrency demand — and we saw yesterday, with Macquarie’s bullish note, that analysts are finally starting to take notice.

And there is a lot of room for improvement within the brokerage community. According to Thomson/First Call, only 11 of the 31 analysts following ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock rate the shares a “buy” or better. The consensus price target, meanwhile, rests at $14.27 and represents a healthy premium for the ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock price.

Short interest also represents a potential driver for Advanced Micro stock. As sentiment worsened amid warnings of falling cryptocurrency demand for ¶¶Òõ×îаæ GPUs, the number of shares sold short shot higher to about 21% of the stock’s total float. Should the stock finally turn higher, these bears could be forced to buy back their positions, thus adding to the Advanced Micro stock rally.

¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock

Turning to the options pits, ¶¶Òõ×îаæ speculators are looking for a rebound heading into January 2018 expiration. At last check, this back-month put/call open interest ratio rested at 0.53, with calls nearly doubling puts among January 2018 options.

Meanwhile, January 2018 implieds are pricing in a move of about 9.8% ahead of expiration. This places the upper bound at $12 and the lower bound at about $10.

Technically speaking, ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock has already rebounded off support at $10 with the shares finally moving out of an oversold position. The $11 region remains a short-term concern, though a breakout here could see the shares challenge $12 and their 50-day moving average in short order.

Two Trades for ¶¶Òõ×îаæ Stock

Call Spread: Traders looking to take advantage of a rebound in ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock might want to consider a January 2018 $11/$11.50 bull call spread. At last check, this spread was offered at 19 cents, or $19-per-pair-of-contracts. Breakeven lies at $11.19, while a maximum profit of 31 cents, or $31-per-pair-of-contracts — about a 60% return — is possible if ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock closes at or above $11.50 when January 2018 options expire.

Put Sell: For a more neutral-to-bullish trade, a January 2018 $10 put sell has an excellent chance of finishing out of the money. At last check, this put was bid at 17 cents, or $17-per-contract. As always with a put sell, you keep the premium as long as ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock closes above $10 when January 2018 options expire.

On the downside, if ¶¶Òõ×îаæ trades below $10 prior to expiration, you could be assigned 100 shares for each put sold at a cost of $10-per-share.

As of this writing, Joseph Hargett did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.


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