As Pricey as ¶¶Òõ×îаæ Stock Seems, It Still Has Room to Run

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 in 2019 and 2018, has got more room to run in 2020 as it continues to take market share from its struggling larger rival Intel (NASDAQ:INTC). That’s not too shabby given that not too long ago ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock was considered an after-thought to many investors.

As Pricey as ¶¶Òõ×îаæ Stock Seems, It Still Has Room to Run

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Look, I would generally be hesitant to recommend a stock that surged more than 150 percent in 2019 and trades a nose-bleed multiple of 250. However, ¶¶Òõ×îаæ stock keeps going like the Energizer Bunny, and I don’t see anything slowing it down. 

The $50 price target that RBC issued on Nov. 15 when ¶¶Òõ×îаæ traded at $38.56 doesn’t seem so crazy now that the shares are trading at $48.39. Ditto for Rosenblatt’s target of $52 published three days later.

Of course, Intel isn’t taking ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s resurgence lying down. The largest chipmaker has slashed prices for some of its high-end gaming chips and likely will continue to ratchet up the discounts. A price war would wind up hurting ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s profits as well, but INTC is clearly in the weaker position. Wall Street analysts expect ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s revenue to surge more than 26 percent in 2020. They forecast Intel’s revenue growth 1.8 percent during that same time period.

Ties to Microsoft

¶¶Òõ×îаæ is benefitting from its close ties with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), which is using ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s Ryzen 3,000 chips in the Microsoft Surface 3, the latest iteration of the company’s tablet. Previous Surfaces relied on INTC chips exclusively.

Microsoft and rival Sony (NYSE:SNE) are both using ¶¶Òõ×îаæ technology to power the next-generation Xbox, and PlayStation gaming consoles do to be released this year. If the gaming press is accurate, both should be must-haves for the 2020 holiday season.

The tech press is chock full of praise for the Santa Clara, Calif-based company’s technology and prospects. The media loves a good underdog story, particularly one like ¶¶Òõ×îаæ which is gaining ground on a larger incumbent rival like INTC. Think of it as the corporate equivalent of “The Little Engine That Could.”

described ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s new generation of its Ryzen 3000-series processors that were released last year as “the best chips ¶¶Òõ×îаæ has ever made and they’re more competitive with Intel than the red team has been in more than a decade.”

Some Ryzen chips sold so well that there were shortages.

According to the bottlenecks are fixed, so ¶¶Òõ×îаæ should have “no issue with flooding the market with its in-demand CPUs (Central Processing Units.)”

The Bottom Line on ¶¶Òõ×îаæ Stock

According to Digitimes, ¶¶Òõ×îаæ won orders for its second-generation Epyc server processor, which debuted last year from IBM (NYSE:IBM), Dell, and Nokia (NYSE:NOK).

The surging popularity of Epyc is  Market observers expect ¶¶Òõ×îаæ’s share of the server market to more than double . This development is a significant achievement since ¶¶Òõ×îаæ had left the server market to INTC until recently.

While INTC continues to be the dominant player in semiconductors, the inroads that ¶¶Òõ×îаæ has made are too significant to ignore. My colleague Wayne Duggan makes a persuasive case why INTC is a “compelling value” at its current price. ¶¶Òõ×îаæ isn’t anyone’s idea of a bargain. However, it is an intriguing proposition for investors with a high tolerance for risk.

 Jonathan Berr doesn’t own shares in any of the aforementioned stocks.

Jonathan Berr is an award-winning freelance journalist who has focused on business news since 1997. He’s luckier with his investments than his beloved yet underachieving Philadelphia sports teams.


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